This week, we’re talking about some good news. Some very good news, actually.
The murder rate, which has been on the decline for a couple of years now, is on pace to hit a record low. That’s what the early data collected by Jeff Asher’s AH Datalytics indicates. Asher joins the show to break down the numbers he’s seeing so far.
He said the murder rate surged during the pandemic, but it has already fallen back to those levels and kept dropping further.
While the FBI’s murder data for 2025 won’t be out for nearly a year, Asher collects crime data from many of the same sources. He said his data shows a huge early decline in the murder rate that would equate to an all-time low if sustained. He cautioned that the decline is likely to slow as the year progresses, but it should still hit a record.
You can listen to the show on your favorite podcast episode or by clicking here. Video of the episode is available on our YouTube channel. An auto-generated transcript is here. Reload Members get access on Sunday, as always. Everyone else can listen on Monday.
Plus, Contributing Writer Jake Fogleman and I unpack the latest in the growing political fight between gun-rights groups and the House GOP over how much National Firearms Act reform can be included in the President’s “big beautiful bill” through budget reconciliation. We also cover recent rulings out of the federal courts, including an en banc Ninth Circuit decision upholding the government’s ability to permanently disarm all non-violent felons and a Fourth Circuit ruling the same for those with misdemeanor domestic violence convictions. Emily Stanley, aka Princess and the Pistol, also joins the show to discuss becoming a gun meme.
